BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Elizabeth City St

Class: 2 Class Rank: 164 Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (0-6) Overall: (1-7) Overall Strength =   62.99

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Home    W    91.44  19  10    2 133 (  5-  5) Central St OH          29.49    -20.49                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L    41.35   6  51    2 132 (  2-  8) UNC-Pembroke          -20.61    -24.39                      
  3 09/29/2018 Home    L *  59.75  17  24    2 160 (  2-  7) St Augustine's         -2.21     -4.79                      
  4 10/06/2018 Away    L *  71.92  19  41    2 106 (  4-  5) Virginia St             9.96 *  -31.96                      
  5 10/13/2018 Away    L *  53.03  20  21    2 168 (  1-  9) Lincoln PA             -8.92      7.92                      
  6 10/20/2018 Home    L *  69.36  20  44    2  86 (  6-  4) Chowan                  7.41    -31.41                      
  7 10/27/2018 Home    L *  51.84   0  53    2  81 (  8-  2) Virginia Union        -10.11 *  -42.89                      
  8 11/03/2018 Away    L *  56.94   7  49    2  79 ( 10-  3) Bowie St               -5.01 *  -36.99                      
      Averages              61.95  13.5 36.6

Best game:   91.44 = 9 point win over Central St OH
Worst game:  41.35 = 45 point loss to UNC-Pembroke
Team stdev:  15.40